Volume 2, issue 1 | Copyright
Wind Energ. Sci., 2, 189-209, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2-189-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research articles 25 Apr 2017

Research articles | 25 Apr 2017

Statistical characterization of roughness uncertainty and impact on wind resource estimation

Mark Kelly and Hans E. Jørgensen
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Here we give a basic form for uncertainty in mean wind speed predicted at one site via measurements taken at another site due to uncertainty in surface roughness when using industry-standard European Wind Atlas (e.g., WAsP) method. We also provide an approximate power-curve form and method to further estimate uncertainty in turbine energy production; this is also useful in AEP estimates. Some implications are also discussed, e.g., prediction over forest or with mesoscale model output.
Here we give a basic form for uncertainty in mean wind speed predicted at one site via...
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